Hypothesis testing between quantum ensembles

Quantum state ensembles are important in quantum information processing. For example, quantum t-designs model highly entangled states in complex systems, while projected ensembles appear in generative quantum machine learning and studies of thermalization. With their sample state accompanied by a classical label, these ensembles contain operational information beyond their average density operators. Yet an ensemble differs from a classical-quantum state because it is invariant under permutations of labels. We formulate binary hypothesis testing between finite quantum ensembles and derive fundamental limits on error probability. Given an observed label pattern, we show that the joint sampled state can be described by power-weighted ensemble moments. This yields the Bayes-optimal measurement and exact finite-sample error, revealing that discrimination is governed by the full moment hierarchy up to the number of samples. In the many-sample limit, we derive Chernoff bounds and obtain exact error exponents for finite uniform pure-state ensembles. We apply these results to optical communication and t-designs. For finite uniform pure-state t-designs with large t, the maximal discrimination exponent scales sharply as sim t^-2, while equal-prior fixed-error testing requires sim t² samples.