Exact learning of quantum noise with tensor networks

Accurate noise models are essential for high-performance quantum error correction, yet characterizing the noise of a quantum device typically requires dedicated experiments. We present a variational framework that learns the noise model directly from quantum-error-correction syndrome and logical-observable data collected during error-corrected memory experiments. The fault-event probabilities are treated as variational parameters and optimized via gradient descent to minimize the binary cross-entropy between the decoder's predictions and experimental logical-observable outcomes. We prove that this objective is principled rather than ad hoc: a sufficiently expressive noise ansatz attains the information-theoretic minimum logical error rate. We instantiate this framework using a tensor-network decoder, which provides exact maximum-likelihood decoding and analytically differentiable gradients with respect to all noise parameters. Using circuit-level data from Google's Sycamore processor, and starting from an uninformed prior, the optimization recovers noise models whose logical error rates agree to within 2\% with those of Google's independently characterized detector error model. The mean squared error between the learned and reference noise parameters shows a clear overall decrease throughout training, confirming that the method recovers physically meaningful noise structure, not merely parameters that happen to decode well. We further demonstrate that the optimization can track device drifts in real time via warm-started updates, maintaining near-optimal decoding performance under synthetically evolving noise without the need for re-characterization. The approach is decoder-agnostic in its formulation and naturally extends to correlated noise models.