Separation of Statistical Complexity and Trainability in Variational Quantum Circuits

Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) are among the leading approaches for near-term quantum computing, yet their performance can degrade in barren plateau regimes characterized by vanishing gradients. A widely held intuition is that increasing circuit expressivity, often associated with random-state behavior, leads to a loss of trainability. Existing results show that sufficiently random circuits can lead to barren plateaus. Here we show that standard statistical signatures of randomness can emerge well before this regime, without degrading trainability. We demonstrate this behavior in structured variational circuits applied to the one-dimensional cluster-Ising model and a generalized toric code Hamiltonian. To characterize state complexity, we analyze Porter-Thomas statistics, entanglement-spectrum level statistics, and inverse participation ratios. Across both models, increasing circuit depth drives these diagnostics toward random-state-like or random-matrix-like behavior, while variational optimization remains effective, with no evidence of exponential gradient suppression in the regime studied. We interpret this behavior in terms of locality. Spectral correlations develop at relatively shallow depth through locally generated structure, while global state randomization and the associated concentration-of-measure effects are not yet realized. These results show that commonly used statistical diagnostics of complexity do not by themselves determine trainability. Instead, they point to a separation between different aspects of complexity in finite-depth variational circuits.