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Quantum Simulation
Simulation-Free Fidelity Estimation via Quantum Output Order Statistics
arXiv
Authors: Tobias Micklitz
Year
2025
Paper ID
51220
Status
Preprint
Abstract Read
~2 min
Abstract Words
102
Citations
N/A
Abstract
We introduce a simulation-free method to estimate the fidelity of large quantum circuits based on the order statistics of measured output probabilities from highly entangled, chaotic states. The approach requires only the highest-probability output bitstrings - the most frequently observed measurement outcomes - and builds on exact analytical results for the order statistics of Haar-random quantum states derived here. Analyzing their modification under depolarizing noise, we propose a scalable fidelity estimator, validated on Google's 12-qubit Sycamore experiment and further supported by numerical simulations. We demonstrate its practicality for intermediate-scale quantum circuits, where cross-entropy benchmarking is costly and direct fidelity estimation is difficult.
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- We introduce a simulation-free method to estimate the fidelity of large quantum circuits based on the order statistics of measured output probabilities from highly entangled...
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