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Paper 1

Belief Propagation Convergence Prediction for Bivariate Bicycle Quantum Error Correction Codes

Anton Pakhunov

Year

2026

Journal

arXiv preprint

DOI

arXiv:2604.07995

arXiv

2604.07995

Decoding Bivariate Bicycle (BB) quantum error correction codes typically requires Belief Propagation (BP) followed by Ordered Statistics Decoding (OSD) post-processing when BP fails to converge. Whether BP will converge on a given syndrome is currently determined only after running BP to completion. We show that convergence can be predicted in advance by a single modulo operation: if the syndrome defect count is divisible by the code's column weight w, BP converges with high probability (100% at p <= 0.001, degrading to 87% at p = 0.01); otherwise, BP fails with probability >= 90%. The mechanism is structural: each physical data error activates exactly w stabilizers, so a defect count not divisible by w implies the presence of measurement errors outside BP's model space. Validated on five BB codes with column weights w = 2, 3, and 4, mod-w achieves AUC = 0.995 as a convergence classifier at p = 0.001 under phenomenological noise, dominating all other syndrome features (next best: AUC = 0.52). The false positive rate scales empirically as O(p^2.05) (R^2 = 0.98), confirming the analytical bound from Proposition 2. Among BP failures on mod-w = 0 syndromes, 82% contain weight-2 data error clusters, directly confirming the dominant failure mechanism. The prediction is invariant under BP scheduling strategy and decoder variant, including Relay-BP - the strongest known BP enhancement for quantum LDPC codes. These results apply directly to IBM's Gross code [[144, 12, 12]] and Two-Gross code [[288, 12, 18]], targeted for deployment in 2026-2028.

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Paper 2

Tradeoffs on the volume of fault-tolerant circuits

Anirudh Krishna, Gilles Zémor

Year

2025

Journal

arXiv preprint

DOI

arXiv:2510.03057

arXiv

2510.03057

Dating back to the seminal work of von Neumann [von Neumann, Automata Studies, 1956], it is known that error correcting codes can overcome faulty circuit components to enable robust computation. Choosing an appropriate code is non-trivial as it must balance several requirements. Increasing the rate of the code reduces the relative number of redundant bits used in the fault-tolerant circuit, while increasing the distance of the code ensures robustness against faults. If the rate and distance were the only concerns, we could use asymptotically optimal codes as is done in communication settings. However, choosing a code for computation is challenging due to an additional requirement: The code needs to facilitate accessibility of encoded information to enable computation on encoded data. This seems to conflict with having large rate and distance. We prove that this is indeed the case, namely that a code family cannot simultaneously have constant rate, growing distance and short-depth gadgets to perform encoded CNOT gates. As a consequence, achieving good rate and distance may necessarily entail accepting very deep circuits, an undesirable trade-off in certain architectures and applications.

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